Magic Formula Rank For Jagged Peak Energy Inc. ($JAG$) Placed Under Scrutiny as it Runs to 2292

Jagged Peak Energy Inc. (JAG) has a Magic Formula rank of 2292.  The Magic Formula was introduced in a book written by Joel Greenblatt, entitled, “The Little Book that Beats the Market”. In this book he encourages people to take control of their own money and invest it themselves. Most people entrust their money to investment professionals but Greenblatt observes that most of them don’t beat the market. They make investing sound quite complicated but as Greenblatt explains, it’s actually quite simple. He devised a very straightforward model that can be implemented easily by everyone and has proven to beat the market significantly in the past. Greenblatt suggests purchasing 30 “good companies”: cheap stocks with a high earnings yield and a high return on capital. He touts the success of his magic formula in his book ‘The Little Book that Beats the Market’ citing that it does, in fact, beat the S&P 500 96% of the time, and has averaged a 17-year annual return of 30.8%.

Stock analysis typically falls into two main categories. Some investors may prefer technical analysis, and others may prefer to study the fundamentals. Many investors will keep an eye on both. Technical analysis involves trying to project future stock price movements based on prior stock activity. Technicians strive to identify chart patterns and study other historical price and volume data. Technical investors look to identify trends when assessing a stock. The trend is typically considered to be the main direction of the share price. Trends are generally categorized as either up, down, or sideways. If a bullish trend is spotted, the trader may expect the upward trend to continue and thus try to capitalize on further upward action. 

Price Range 52 Weeks

Some of the best financial predictions are formed by using a variety of financial tools. The Price Range 52 Weeks is one of the tools that investors use to determine the lowest and highest price at which a stock has traded in the previous 52 weeks. The Price Range of Jagged Peak Energy Inc. (JAG) over the past 52 weeks is 0.050231. The 52-week range can be found in the stock’s quote summary.

Enterprise Value

Jagged Peak Energy Inc. (JAG) based out of United States and resides in the Energy sector, has a market cap of 1243209.646 after recently touching 6.52 on a recent bid. Jagged Peak Energy Inc. (JAG) sees an average of trading volume of 11258.1. Jagged Peak Energy Inc. (JAG) competes in the Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels industry.  Watching some historical volatility numbers on shares of Jagged Peak Energy Inc. (JAG), we can see that the 12 month volatility is presently 41.6513. The 6 month volatility is 46.7764, and the 3 month is spotted at 50.8352. Following volatility data can help measure how much the stock price has fluctuated over the specified time period. Although past volatility action may help project future stock volatility, it may also be vastly different when taking into account other factors that may be driving price action during the measured time period. 

Altman Z

Jagged Peak Energy Inc. (JAG) currently has an Altman Z score of 1.994999. The Z-Score for predicting bankruptcy was published in 1968 by Edward I. Altman, who was assistant professor of finance at New York University at that time. It measures the financial health of a company based on a set of income and balance sheet values. The Altman Z-Score predicts the probability that a firm will go bankrupt within 2 years. In its initial test, the Altman Z-Score was found to be 72% accurate in predicting bankruptcy two years before the event. In a series of subsequent tests, the model was found to be approximately 80%–90% accurate in predicting bankruptcy one year before the event.

EBITDA/EV

EBITDA/EV stands at 0.211203.
This multiple is similar to Earnings Yield, but here we use Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) as Nominator). By doing this, we can compare companies with a different capital structure and capital expenditures. This way it gives a much better idea of the value of a company compared to the popular P/E ratio. As O’Shaughnessy explaines:

” Stocks that have very high debt levels often have low PE ratios, but this does not necessarily mean that they are cheap in relation to other securities. Stocks that are highly leveraged tend to have far more volatile PE ratios than those that are not. A stock’s PE ratio is greatly affected by debt levels and tax rates, whereas EBITDA/EV is not. To compare valuations on a level playing field, you need to account for how a company is financing itself and then compare how relatively cheap or expensive it is after accounting for all balance sheet items.” – James P. O’Shaugnessy in What works on Wall Street

You can think of it as the taking all the revenue and subtracting the costs that solely go into running the business. The downside of EBITDA is that it can be abused by companies declaring as “one-off” costs things that should really be considered normal costs. We use the EBITDA of the last 12 months.

Looking at some ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) numbers, Jagged Peak Energy Inc. (JAG)’s ROIC is 0.093692. The ROIC 5 year average is -0.03675. ROIC is a profitability ratio that measures the return that an investment generates for those providing capital. ROIC helps show how efficient a firm is at turning capital into profits. 

Earnings to Price (Yield), Earnings Yield, Earnings Yield Five Year

The Earnings to Price yield of Jagged Peak Energy Inc. (JAG) is 0.076639. This is calculated by taking the earnings per share and dividing it by the last closing share price. This is one of the most popular methods investors use to evaluate a company’s financial performance. Earnings Yield is calculated by taking the operating income or earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and dividing it by the Enterprise Value of the company. The Earnings Yield for Jagged Peak Energy Inc. (JAG) is 0.081145. Earnings Yield helps investors measure the return on investment for a given company. Similarly, the Earnings Yield Five Year Average is the five year average operating income or EBIT divided by the current enterprise value. The Earnings Yield Five Year average for Jagged Peak Energy Inc. (JAG) is -0.01268.

Successful stock market investing often begins with setting up measureable and viable goals. Investors who set attainable goals and craft a plan to achieve those goals may find themselves in a much better position than the investor who does not. It can be very tempting to jump into the stock market and start investing. When the market is riding high, investors may be quick to act so they do not miss out on the action. Entering the stock market without a plan can lead to future distress when the markets turn downward for an extended period of time. Having a plan for multiple scenarios can help the investor ride out the storm when it comes.